We're going to talk about the 4% rule, retirement planning, and why I think retirement planning is a total joke, especially the 4% rule, and why I believe it's going to fail most people. And then we're going to talk about a paradigm that I hope everyone can apply to their life to maybe reframe this retirement game, reframe this 4% rule, and hopefully give you more hope and control over your wealth.
My name is Caleb Williams. This is the BetterWealth blog, and the purpose of this blog is to make videos on money, business, and finance to help you live more intentionally. I can't think of a word that crushes intentional living like retirement. This concept of retirement is the idea of being taken out of service and to stop providing value. It's a very icky word to begin with, and I think the idea of retirement and being taken out of service has really created a lot of problems in our society.
A lot of people when they retire just lose a sense of purpose and you could ask the question, why do I do what I do and what's the point of life? I know this might be extreme, but I've seen so often people hate what they do on a day-to-day basis for a someday future to retire, and then realize when they hit retirement that it's not fulfilling at all.
When I was working at the bank, I sat down with a couple that was near retirement and after asking them a few questions I realized that they were both miserable and they've never been asked what they've truly wanted out of life. Then to make matters worse, I had to let them know that their retirement wasn't going to be a fraction of what they thought. When they were leaving my office I was just thinking to myself, what am I doing? Why would I want to dedicate my life to making money in a system that I don't believe is truly helping people?
This video might not be unique or life-changing, but I hope I can share a concept in a way that gets you thinking no matter what age you are. You might be in retirement, nearing retirement, or in your 40s or 30s and able to make some pivots that can make a big difference in your life. I'm going to draw and do this 4% rule 101.
The 4% Rule Explained
The concept of retirement planning is you have this mountain that you're climbing up. The idea is you're going to hit a day where you'll spend down your nest egg and come down the mountain. Wall Street planning often paints this picture: you lock up your money, give control of your money with the hope of appreciation and compound interest. One day, whether you hate your life or not, you will supposedly achieve a number that can be spent down. The 4% rule is used to determine what kind of income you can spend down when included with inflation to have a pretty good chance of not running out of money.
Now, it's ironic because people say 4% is too aggressive due to volatility, interest rates, and people still running out of money. Some now say 3% or even 2.5%. Let's assume you have your rosy $1 million at retirement. This hypothetical million dollar asset, after 40 years of investing, would produce $40,000 a year using the 4% rule. Just divide $40,000, the actual cash flow, by the distribution rate of 4% to get a million dollars.
With your resources, it becomes a cash flow game. Instead of spending your whole nest egg tomorrow, think about what can you do that can get a greater cash flow than $40,000? Many people might look at real estate, for example, for greater cash flow and higher returns compared to just a stock portfolio.
Maximizing Cash Flow
The real question should be: how quickly can I generate desired cash flow? A friend of mine generates $16,000 from his investment portfolio—equivalent to a $400,000 portfolio using the traditional 4% rule. This showcases how creativity and opportunities can yield higher cash flow without needing massive portfolios.
The purpose is not to give investment advice, but inspire different thinking about money. Don't default to the 4% rule; strategize and work with someone who can help you find ways to potentially increase cash flow.
If you want to rethink retirement and enhance cash flow strategies, focus on creating a higher income and cash flow rather than on net worth. Cash flow is ultimately what supports us financially, not net worth.
Again, I hope this post was helpful and sparked some new thoughts about retirement and financial planning. I'd love to hear your biggest takeaways, questions, or if you'd like more posts on cash flow and retirement planning for the BetterWealth blog.
Full Transcript
We're going to talk about the 4% rule, retirement planning, and why I think retirement planning is a total joke, especially the 4% rule, and why I believe it's going to fail most people. And then we're going to talk about a paradigm which I hope everyone can apply to their life to maybe reframe this retirement game, reframe this 4% rule, and hopefully give you more hope and control over your wealth. My name is Caleb Williams. This is the Better Wealth channel, and the purpose of this channel is to make videos on money and business and finance to help you live more intentional. And I can't think of a word that crushes intentional living like retirement. This concept of retirement is this idea of being taken out of service and to stop doing and providing value. It's a very icky word to begin with, and I think the idea of retirement and IE being taken out of service has really created a lot of problems in our society. A lot of people when they retire just kind of lose a sense of purpose and you could ask the question, why do I do what I do and what's the point of life? And I know that this might be extreme, but I've just seen so often people hate what they do on a day to day to day basis for a someday future to retire and then realize when they hit retirement that it's not fulfilling at all. I will say this, when I was working at the bank and I sat down with a couple that was near retirement and after asking them a few questions I realized that they were both miserable, they both weren't happy, and they've never been asked what they've wanted. They've never been asked what they truly wanted out of life, and then to make matters worse I had to let them know that their retirement wasn't going to be a fraction of what they thought. When they were leaving my office I was just thinking to myself, what am I doing? Why would I want to dedicate my life to making money in a system that I don't believe is truly helping people? And so none of this video is something unique or going to be life changing, but I hope I can share a concept in a way that can get you thinking no matter what age you are. You might be in retirement, you may be nearing retirement, or you might be in your 40s or 30s and really be able to make some pivots that can make a big difference in your life. So what I'm going to do is I'm going to draw and I'm going to do this 4% rule 101. So the concept of retirement planning is you have this mountain and you're right here and you're climbing up the mountain. And the whole concept is you're going to hit a day where you're going to spend down your nest egg and then you're going to come down the mountain. And so a lot of times, like this is like Wall Street planning 101, this is a picture of supposed to be you, is they say, okay, you're going to lock up your money, you're going to give us all control of your money. We're going to, you know, you're going to with the hope of growing, of appreciation, of compound interest. And one day, you know, in the next 20, 30, 40 years, whether you hate your life or not, you're going to have some type of number. We've all seen those commercials, like what's your number and you're like carrying your number on your back. And this number will be spent down. And we use what's called the 4% rule to generate what kind of income you can spend down when we include inflation to have a pretty good chance that you're not going to run out of money. Now, what's ironic is I'm going to use 4% because I think it's still a very small, miserable number. But, but the sad reality is now people are saying 4% is too aggressive when you look at the volatility, when you look at interest rates, when you look at just people still running out of money that's doing the 4% rule. So now people are saying 3%. Now some people are saying 2.5%. So just think about whatever I'm showing. There are some people that are saying it has to be a lot worse because of the environment that we're in. So we're going to just be safe and assume that you have your Rosie $1 million at retirement. Now I can't help but to think like what you gave up by growing to a million. But that's a whole other story. I mean, you might have dedicated 40 years to your life investing money to get to a million. What could you have done over those 40 years if you invested differently? That's just a question. I want to be very clear. This is not investment advice. I'm not like, I don't sue me. I'm just making this video because I want to inspire different thinking as relates to how we use our money. And so the 4% rule would essentially say this person would be able to take out $40,000. Now the amount of people that actually have a million dollars in retirement is pretty slim. And yet $40,000 doesn't feel like a lot of money at all. Now of granted, there's social security. There may be pensions. There might be other money. But at the end of the day, the 4% rule would say that they could take out $40,000 and maybe with inflation be able to increase that a little bit each year due to inflation. Now that's a 4% rule. And so that's essentially a lot of people might be love the concept of growing their money and making it in the market and all that stuff. But at the end of the day, a lot of people don't have an income strategy. They don't have a distribution strategy. And it's a huge problem. There's a whole market between how to use different products. And there's a lot of different strategies. If you find yourself nearing retirement or in retirement, there's a lot of different strategies you can do to potentially, not investment advice, potentially get greater distribution of 4% just based on bucket strategies, annuity strategies, potential real estate strategies. But we're not going to talk about any of those strategies at this point. We're just going to talk about the idea of you only being of the spend $40,000 off of your million dollar asset. Now the math equation here is if you divide $40,000, the actual cash flow, and you divide the distribution rate of 4%, you're going to get a million bucks, which pretty much says, if we reverse engineer this, that ultimately this million dollar asset that you spent hypothetical 35, 40 years building produced 40,000. So the real question is, with your resources, it's a cash flow game. It's all about cash flow. You're not going to spend your whole million dollar nest egg tomorrow. So your nest egg is just a cash flow. And if we understand that the 4% rule or now the lower than 4% rule is very inefficient way to create cash flow, it gets us to start thinking, what can we do with our time? What can we do with our money? What can we do with our relationships? What can we do with our resources or talents that can get a greater cash flow than the $40,000? And this is what gets very exciting because a lot of people might look at something like real estate and say, okay, not endorsing real estate, by the way, but, oh, I can get a bank loan. I can put a little bit of money down. I can get a bank loan. I can get half a million dollar real estate property or maybe a million dollar real estate property and it can produce cash flow. And over the next 30 years, that asset not only is worth a million dollars, but is creating cash flow that's far greater than my $40,000 that is being produced in my stock portfolio. And then we can start thinking about other initiatives and other business opportunities and other investment opportunities and start asking the question, how can instead of what number do I need to get, how can I generate this $40,000 or $50,000 or $60,000 faster? That really is the question. And it just comes down to, if you could generate $80,000 a year at this 4% number, you would need $2 million, just to create an income. This video idea really came about because I was talking to my buddy who is earning $16,000 a year from his investment portfolio. We did the math and we said, okay, you have $16,000 coming in a year on this one deal. That's an equivalent of you saving up and having over $400,000 in a portfolio. We are laughing because my friend has been in the game a few years and has never made over $100,000. So the idea of him earning $400,000, let alone actually having that invested is a way, but yet this person through creativity and through opportunities was able to generate what he would need in the typical way of $400,000 to produce $16,000 of income. So again, the purpose of this video is not to give investment advice. The idea of number one, if retirement is something that you're looking forward to, rethink your thinking, find another job, find another opportunity because in most cases, majority of people are not going to have a fraction of what they think they're going to have. It's not even your fault. It's just where we are as a world and it's just the truth. It's interest rates. There's so many people to quote, unquote, blame, but at the end of the day, if you're miserable with your life, it's your fault. Get out and do something that you truly love. So that's number one. Number two is if your strategy is to appreciate your money to have a million or $2 million to have an income plan, don't just default to the 4% rule. Work with someone, whether it's us or someone else that can help you strategize because you might not want to take risk in certain areas or do real estate, but there are ways to potentially bump that 4% number up to a greater number if you have a strategy. If you're someone that's in your 20s, 30s, 40s, 50s and looking at this and saying, wow, I've never thought about it this way, start reverse engineering your retirement plan or investing strategy to enhance cash flow and really measure everything based off of cash flow versus your net worth because net worth can be very misleading. At the end of the day, we're not spending our net worth tomorrow. Our net worth is hopefully kicking off income and income or cash flow is what we should be focused on. So again, hope this video was helpful. I hope this video maybe turned on a light bulb just in how we think. I would love to hear just some biggest takeaways if you have any questions and if you would like me to do more videos on this topic around cash flow and retirement planning for the Betterwell channel. |